While there will undoubtedly be changes to the team that lines up against England this weekend - in a match shown live on TNT Sports - and the fact that this will be England's third Test in a row against the Kiwis, much can be gained from analysing Scott Robertson's team in Yokohama. From strengths in physicality to occasional lapses in defence, here’s what England have learnt from New Zealand’s performance.
Mixed performances at No. 10
The All Blacks fly-half position remains a point of discussion, with Damian McKenzie delivering a mixed display against Japan. In the first half hour, while he injected creativity and got on the scoreboard early with two successful conversions, he missed his next three conversion attempts, and his handling and decision-making were not always consistent under pressure. This could make New Zealand susceptible if England apply a structured defensive system under Joe El-Abd that disrupts flow in the midfield. Head coach Scott Robertson may once again turn to Beauden Barrett in the role (with Richie Mo’unga unavailable due to playing in Japan) when they inevitably come up against a tougher defence than Japan's at the Allianz Stadium this Saturday.
A dynamic backline combination
New Zealand’s backline remains a lethal asset, and in Japan players like novice centre Billy Proctor and experienced winger Sevu Reece were formidable threats. Clearly, England’s defence must be quick to close down space, particularly on the wings, to counter the All Blacks’ knack for turning turnovers into try-scoring opportunities. Whether England have had long enough to bed in their defensive systems - how much of it will be a continuation of Felix Jones's work, for example - particularly against a team that has plenty of Test match rugby under its belt over the last couple of months, is a big question.
Defensive gaps and vulnerabilities
Although New Zealand ultimately controlled the game, their defence showed vulnerabilities early on. Japan found space on the wings and exposed some lapses in communication and structure, which allowed them to apply pressure and gain ground. In fact, Japan's fast start saw them score a sensational try right down the middle after only five minutes via powerful winger Jone Naikabula. England may look to exploit similar gaps, especially out wide, where Japan were occasionally able to press forward. These defensive inconsistencies could present opportunities if England’s attacking units are organised and quick to capitalise.
Strong second-half adjustments
One of the All Blacks' key strengths against Japan was their ability to make tactical adjustments and come back stronger after a sluggish start. After the half-time break, New Zealand increased their tempo and tightened up in areas that were lacking in the first half, allowing them to pull away with a commanding lead. England’s game management will need to account for New Zealand’s adaptability and resilience, especially in the second half, when their intensity tends to peak.
Debutants unleashed
Fullback Ruben Love made a dream debut, coming on to score in the 78th and 80th minute. Whether such a late flurry of tries will be enough to earn him a spot in the squad to face England is doubtful, but expect him to be rewarded deeper into the campaign. His Hurricanes teammate Peter Lakai was the only other uncapped player in the squad, and he also came off the bench to make his debut. Lakai, 21, was initially set to be part of the All Blacks XV squad this autumn, but many will be delighted to have seen him elevated to full Test honours after a breakthrough season for the back rower.
Physical dominance in the forwards
Unsurprisingly, New Zealand’s forward pack demonstrated power in abundance against Japan, controlling the set-pieces and dominating scrums. The pairing of captain Patrick Tuipulotu and Sam Darry provided a solid lineout platform while adding physicality that kept Japan’s pack on the back foot. England’s forwards must be prepared for a relentless physical contest, particularly in breakdowns and set-pieces, to prevent the All Blacks from setting a fast tempo.
Selective, effective kicking game
The All Blacks used their kicking game selectively but effectively, with both McKenzie and fullback Stephen Perofeta deploying tactical kicks to shift field position. They also challenged Japan’s back three with high balls, which could put England’s backfield under pressure. England will need to handle New Zealand’s aerial approach, ensuring secure catches and quick counters to avoid losing territory.
In conclusion, England know they face a well-rounded All Blacks squad with clearly identifiable strengths at Allianz Stadium on Saturday, but will also be encouraged by some areas of vulnerability. Exploiting defensive gaps, countering physicality up front, and adapting to New Zealand’s shifts in play will be key to starting their Autumn Nations Series campaign on a high.
After facing the All Blacks, England take on Australia (9 Nov), South Africa (16 Nov) and Japan (24 Nov).
England v New Zealand, Saturday 2nd November, 15:10 GMT, Allianz Stadium. Live on TNT Sports.
